Ukraine Cannot Win - In Vladimir Putin's war against Ukraine, we see the conflict between high ideals and real politics, between the world as we want it to be and the world as it is. The West is building on Ukraine's bold refusal to take any action to uphold the principle of international leadership. Then he added a codicil. Ukrainians must fight alone.
So far, these conflicts have ended in anger and frustration at Putin's aggression. Vaulting speeches hid the ifs but with little copy of the West's "unwavering" support for Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky. But the news of every peace will cause conflict. The ideals of freedom, independence and border control based on the Charter of Paris of 1992 will soon turn into war and terrorism as shown by the Yalta treaty half a year ago.
Ukraine Cannot Win
This is a fight that Putin cannot win. Most of it is true. The Russian army can still control what is left of the capital of Ukraine, although that hope now seems less realistic than last week. If the Kremlin has learned anything, however, because of the failure of its military and the courage of the Ukrainian people, it is the fact that it will not save the field Code is good. By seeking to deny Ukraine sovereignty, Putin has made it irreversible.
Arms Alone Cannot Win The Peace In Ukraine
When measured against what we have said is at stake, it is almost difficult to see how Russia's defeat turns into Ukraine's victory. Despite stopping the killing of many of its citizens and the crime of its cities and towns, the problem is to think about the consequences that restore the independence of Ukraine - the most important thing, the right to self-determination, especially one of them. Including all members of the European democracies.
After World War I, war broke out in Paris, when Mikhail Gorbachev joined former enemies of the Soviet Union in signing the Declaration of Freedom, Independence and Limitations. For some - in Germany from the most obvious to the mind - it has become a self-evident concept. Western leaders had to wait when Putin went to war against Georgia and a few years later annexed Crimea and entered eastern Ukraine.
Liberal libertarians may also be motivated by their resentment for the open criticism of "Western" values put forward by China's pro-life leader Xi Jinping. Beijing appears to be embarrassed by Putin's blunders - Xi likes to bring back winners - but it reflects Moscow's true intentions. Xi, like Putin, believes in power structures. Superpowers have to draw the map. For Putin's Great Russia, read Chinese hegemony in the Western Pacific. The world of Yalta.
Now, when the shock of Putin's brutality is combined with the courage of the Ukrainian people, the rhetoric of Western leaders is flying. In this case, the German Chancellor Olaf Scholz told the Bundestag, if "power is allowed to rule the law ... regardless of whether we allow Putin to go back to the 19th year". For Joe Biden, "the free world is coming together" to defeat terrorism.
It Is The West's Duty To Help Ukraine Win This War
To an extent, Biden is right. The number of sanctions, Scholz's sudden abandonment of German pacifism, the flow of modern weapons to Ukraine and generous aid to refugees prove a remarkable unity. Russia is divided, culturally and politically and economically. When the United Nations General Assembly voted to condemn the attack, Putin supported Belarus, North Korea, Syria and Eritrea. About 141 people come against him. 35 abstentions are little compensation.
Nato has rediscovered its purpose, and, reversing half a century of Ostpolitik, Germany's Social Democrats have realized that the country can run a foreign policy longer than once in terms of American security and Russian oil. The restriction is repeated that Putin will not allow to assign the country to a special sphere of influence.
And even now. Profits and good intentions are put to good use. If Putin's war represents a challenge to the world order, it is clear that there is little way to ask Nato to intervene directly. How many times does Biden repeat that the US military will not fight in Ukraine? A no-fly zone also ruled against would draw NATO planes into conflict with the Russians. Not that Europeans want to fight.
Putin, Western leaders have told us many times, threatens the principle that countries are free to develop their foreign policies and choose their allies. . However, in the case of Ukraine, that right is strictly prohibited. Yes, Kyiv should retain the right to join NATO, but Washington and its European allies still have a way to convince the Kremlin that the door will remain stable.
Ukraine Is Winning But Needs Weapons To End Russia's Genocidal Occupation
European representatives will tell you that the conditions for peace should be in the hands of the Ukrainian people and their president Volodymyr Zelensky. But they know very well that all these decisions will be determined not only by Ukraine's statistics on its survival in the face of Putin's attack but also by the assessment of how long the West will provide support where is it?
If Kyiv accepts neutrality, will the EU open its doors to Ukrainian members? Should the US maintain sanctions until Moscow has fulfilled its full share of the price? If Ukraine accepts part of its territory, it will be because the West has left it with no other choice. In such cases, Nato will provide real protection for the rest. At what point, will the West itself be ready to fight the law that now declares that it is a threat to the world?
These are uncomfortable questions. And when we look at the killing and destruction, there is a reasonable temptation to punish Western leaders for complacency. They must submit to NATO forces or retain their counsel. After all, Putin went ahead only because he knew that, according to Biden, America was not ready to start the third world war in Ukraine.
And it's true that there has been a lot of interest in Putin - especially the ``we shouldn't do this-or-that'' that scares him. But it's not just a case of concluding that the fear and anger across the Western world at this latest atrocity includes a popular right for a general war with Russia.
Vladimir Putin Cannot Win. But Ukraine Can.
The reality of foreign policy is unpleasant. It can also be, as is the case with the current relations of the West with governments like Saudi Arabia, corruption. But, in a world where democracy is challenged by nuclear-armed dictators, a measure of realpolitik is unavoidable. We learned that during the Cold War. Should the West have risked conflict with the Soviet Union to save Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968?
However, another lesson from the Cold War is that independent countries must clarify their intentions. Ukraine is paying the price for western comfort. As strong as the reaction was from the previous model, the West must now focus on holding its position. Pressuring Zelensky with an order to return to something like business as usual would be a serious crime.
Putin will not change. The Moscow elite must understand that as long as it is strong, Russia will be excluded from many parts of the world. Above all democratic countries must draw their red lines and show the will and resources to defend them, in the last resort with military force.
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Preparing For Victory In Ukraine
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